Period begins with frontal boundary along the southern border. Scattered convection has been seen along and south of it with lowering humidity north of it under clearing skies. This boundary will slowly lift northward through the period with isolated to scattered convection along it, mostly diurnally driven. Humidity will return by Friday as southerly flow returns. The Saharan Dust layer, currently on approach to the gulf coast, will flow into the state on Friday creating hazy skies around the region. This will aid in subsidence (sinking air) and limiting storm development even with the boundary in place. Have lowered rain chances some as a result but left them high enough to account for anything that does pop up. Most of this Dust will stay in the atmosphere reducing the amount of sunshine that gets to the surface. This will keep temps in check for Friday and the weekend. Sunrises and sunsets will be magnificent with this setup as well. Some of this could mix down to the surface creating reduced visibility as well as an affect on the allergies.
Not much change to the extended. High pressure over the SE U.S. will aid in continued southerly flow into the state keeping the rich moisture flowing into the state. Overall we will see a few disturbances move through from the west and northwest interacting with the rich southerly flow. Due to the aforementioned dust layer, I have lowered pops to isolated chances for the state through Sunday before bringing them up next week as the influence from it subsides. A stray shower can not be ruled out but do feel that we will see a lot of subsidence from the Saharan dust preventing much in the way of precip. Hazy skies through the weekend with partly cloudy and humid conditions throughout heading into next week. Temps will be held down over the weekend but summer temps return in time for July.
~Chief Forecaster Derek