Long Range (WED-SUN): Little change from the previous packages, the period begins with several upper level disturbances coming from a western trough beginning to impact the natural state. As a result, increased rain chances will be seen across the natural state especially as we move towards the end of the week. Some isolated severe weather could be seen especially in southern AR where the instability and lift are better but widespread severe weather is not expected at this time. Temperatures will run a good 5 degrees below normal for the natural state but with the humidity in place, it will not be noticeable. Given latest trends, it appears that the ridge may attempt to reestablish over the natural state as we move towards the holiday weekend leading to limited storm chances and slightly higher temps. As a result, have trimmed rain chances back a tad from the 60% on the last forecast package...will continue to monitor trends and adjust the rain chances as needed so stay tuned!
~Senior Forecaster Cameron