Pretty much a rinse and repeat forecast for the near term. Hot and humid days, warm and muggy nights, and isolated to very widely scattered showers and storms will be seen, generally diurnally driven. Heat indices will remain around or just below 100, in the cautin range but not to advisory criteria...yet.
July 4th weekend will definitely be one in typical summertime in the south fashion. Hazy, hot and humid. With surface and upper level ridging in the area, temps at to just above average will be seen With a consistent southerly flow, this will keep moisture levels up as well. A couple of pieces of energy look poised to move through the mean flow bringing SOME wider and better areal coverage on the 4th and Friday but have opted to keep pops in the chance category given uncertainty as to how this will unfold. Mostly diurnal convection will be seen Thursday and Friday with temps around average. As we head later into the weekend, high pressure will strengthen, rain chances will lower, and the temps will come up. Some areas will see upper 90s by the end of the period with heat indices approaching the 105 to 110 range for many locations. There does look to be on cevat to this. Some indications of a surface cold front moving towards the state Sunday evening or Monday the 8th could bring an increase in rainfall and lower temps. Given the strength of the high, have opted to keep pops low with this package and will evaluate the likelihood of the front entering the state as we get closer.
Biggest thing is be prepared for hot and humid weather, limit time outdoors, keep yourself and the pets cool and hydrated and check the back seat and on the elderly. Summertime is here everyone.
~Chief Forecaster Derek