Hi everyone, this is senior forecaster Cameron back here again and I'm here to bring you guys a pattern changing blog and I will be going over everything you need to know regarding next weekend's severe/winter weather potential
Here's the CPC outlook regarding the pattern change. 6-14 day outlook fully supports near/well below normal temps for The Natural state
Here's the GFS regarding next weekend. The cold front, regarding this run, will swing through next Friday night into Saturday with falling temperatures behind it. A storm system will move north of the state resulting in some thunderstorm activity changing to light snow in north arkansas.
Here's the FV3-GFS regarding next weekend. Same as the GFS, it swings the cold front through on Saturday resulting in rapidly dropping temperatures. The storm system takes a southern route and brings light snow to all of the state before leaving.
Here's the CMC regarding next weekend. The CMC is normally the coldest model out of the GFS, Euro and etc. The CMC brings a classic rain to snow from Northwest to Southeast with rapidly falling temperatures. The CMC is further south with the track of the low so the potential of snow will be greater for the state. Severe weather at this time looks to be isolated and mainly focused on South AR especially Friday night/Saturday.
Here's the EURO regarding next weekend. The EURO is bullish with the snow potential in the state as it swings a powerful low through south AR on Saturday, rain changing to moderate snow would be seen across the state as the arctic air filters in behind the cold front. Severe weather would be possible late Friday into Saturday into south AR but the main threat would be damaging winds and maybe a spinup or two.
Overall The upcoming pattern is highly supportive of snow, cold air and potentially some severe weather especially in south AR before the cold air moves in. We will keep you guys updated on the latest