HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK:
MONDAY: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED
TUESDAY: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY: THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
THURSDAY: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED
FRIDAY: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED
SATURDAY: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED
SUNDAY: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED
SHORT-RANGE: Tonight through Tuesday: After a very mild Sunday, another chilly but comfortable night expected as we fall into the 40s and 50s. Monday and Tuesday will be very mild and dry for the most part. We will be under the influence of high pressure resulting in sunny skies and tranquil conditions. Temperatures will be in the 70s and 80s Monday, with a cool down with the passage of a dry cold front on Monday night on Tuesday into the 60s and 70s. Both nights will be cool with lows in the 40s and 50s seen. Tuesday night, northern Arkansas will begin to feel the effects of and upper disturbance moving by, resulting in some scattered storms just beyond the short range.
MID-RANGE: Wednesday and Thursday: Wednesday will be the worst weather day of the week. We will be having an upper level disturbance passing through the region that will spark off widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. The best chance to see thunder will be central and south Arkansas. Do not expect any severe weather this week as overall dynamics are poor for early April, but there will be enough instability for widely scattered convection, especially in the early afternoon. The other aspect of this system will be the wind. Wednesday will see winds near lake wind advisory criteria at 15-20 mph. This will go on through at least sunset until the system passes us by. Thursday we will be back to mostly sunny skies. Highs will be cooler both days with 60s and 70s seen statewide and lows going back into the 40s.
LONG-RANGE: Friday through Sunday will be very pleasant. There are not any appreciable systems in the area with most of the active weather to our north and our south in the split-flow pattern. Given the split-flow pattern, temps will be below average for this time of year to start the period. 60s and low 70s with lows in the 40s and some 50s will be seen. There will be a few areas of FROST across NOTHERN Arkansas Friday and Saturday nights as temperatures flirt with the mid 30s in the valleys. By Sunday the subtropical jet will be easing north again with an increase in moisture levels and some isolated storms being seen. Temps will be back to at or above average with 70s and 50s being seen.
SPECIAL EXTENDED LOOK: Once we get past this weekend, I do not see any more temperatures near freezing. Planting should be ok after Saturday night, especially in the north. No wintry weather to be seen. Temperatures will start to creep up towards 80 over the next few weeks, now is the time to start making those summer preparations for your pets.
~Senior Forecaster Derek