So, taking a blend of these 3, 2 being morning, it is safe to say that we will see a warm but not hot Halloween. As of tonight, upper 60s to mid-70s look reasonable for Halloween evening just looking at the current setup.
But Derek, will my child need a poncho. That is a good question and not a bad idea. Once again, a very unique setup will be overhead. A rich moisture feed from southwest flow aloft will be overhead. Remnants of the hurricane in the Pacific will be long gone to our east, but the moisture feed should remain. Guidance is honing in on a disturbance moving through the region on or around Halloween. Lets take a look below.
Severe weather threat does look low, however with the temperature swings, this always needs to be watched. The Euro does have an interesting setup, but this is the only one showing this at this time, so it will be discounted but will be watched closely.