Temperatures: The subtropical ridge looks to dominate across the eastern coastline of the United States. With this, look for temps to be slightly above normal temperatures across the eastern & southern half of the united states. Across the north, the storm track will be most dominate there with it dropping south as we move deeper into fall. So as a result, look for near normal temps across the northern plains. Across the west, High pressure (The heat ridge) looks to dominate as well, so as a result, look for well above normal temps to dominate across the western half of the United States.
Tropics: The tropical season has been on a active start with 5 storms already named even before the month of August. Even though it is quiet at the moment across the Atlantic (besides Emily), I fully expect that the tropics will ramp up in activity going into the months of August, September and even into October before the season ends as the Cape Verde season looks to take over.
Precip: To start off fall, the storm track looks to remain to the north but as we move deeper into the fall months, the storm track will come down into the southern part of the united states. With this, I have added a red area for the potential of a couple of severe weather events across the Southern Plains as the very warm moisture from the gulf collides with the dry, cool air from Canada. As far as precip goes across the southern & eastern half, I have added slightly above normal precip across this area. As for the northern half, I will keep it near normal as the storm track will be back and forth. Across the west, Under the heat ridge, Precip looks to be well below normal across this region, However I do expect this area to get a couple of storm systems at times.