Event: Cold air will be moving into the natural state as a surface low riding along the front near the gulf coast. Mixed bag of precip is expected mainly from a Mena to Jonesboro line points South and East. Transition will occur by sunrise for the northern most section of that line and by mid morning into the afternoon elsewhere. Due to dry air, north Arkansas will likely miss out on most of this. It is very likely that precip will mix a lot on Tuesday. Periods of just rain, periods of just snow or snow/sleet/rain. Some uncertainty still remains on how fast the cold air can get to this area as it will make the ultimate difference of no impacts to a decent winter weather event. Will discount the aggressive NAM at this time but will continue to monitor trends as it has been extremely consistent over several runs.
Snow/Sleet Amounts: Trace to Up to a half of inch of snow/sleet is possible especially in the delta up to northeast Arkansas. Will monitor trends as banding could lead to locally higher amounts in isolated areas.
Black ice will be a problem tomorrow night into Wednesday as little wind with this event will cause bridges & overpasses to become slick.
Please stay tuned for the latest on this winter weather event.
~Chief Forecaster Derek & Senior Forecaster Cameron