The National Hurricane Center has placed a 10% chance of development over the next 5 days on a broad area of low pressure in the central Caribbean. This low will move into the Gulf of Mexico and could potentially develop in the very warm gulf waters.
Here are the current gulf of mexico temperatures. Photo Credits go to MyFoxHurricane for this graphic. Temperatures are well above normal in the gulf. Very warm for tropical development.
Here's the Euro Model. Photo Credits go to weatherbell.com The Euro has a weak low in the gulf of mexico late next week. Several factors will fight against this system....mainly shear.
At the same time, The GFS (American Model) says no to tropical development. Shear takes over and completely rips the system to shreds. The main deal is heavy rain, rip currents and gusty winds. Photo Credits go to weatherbell.com
Overall, This system will have to overcome the shear at the gulf to develop. This system will bring tropical rains, rip currents and some gusty winds along the coast. Location, Timing and possible weakness in shear can and will change the forecast so stay tuned for the latest!