LONG RANGE: The long range period looks very interesting for the natural state as what is now "Invest 95L" will move into the gulf and into the gulf coast states. Given the southeast ridge in place, this will likely steer the system towards the state as we move towards later in the weekend into the early part of next week. Due to overall uncertainty in guidance, I have went low end on rain chances for next week but have increased rain chances from yesterday's forecast package as guidance has become a little clearer on the overall strength and track of 95L. Looking down the road, guidance (Both EURO & GFS) continues to indicate a potential major shift in the pattern right at 10 days out and even beyond but there's great uncertainty on if every piece will line up to bring the major shift that guidance is indicating as time and time again this summer, we've seen one piece shift and shunt our coolest air to the northeast.
~Senior Forecaster Cameron